![]() “The US recession we expect is quite mild,” economists at Fitch Ratings said. The silver lining, however, is that the next recession may not be nearly as destructive as the last two major ones. ![]() The gloomy forecast adds to the growing fear for markets, economists and business leaders that the world’s largest economy is on the verge of a recession - just 2.5 years after the last one. High inflation will “prove too much of a drain” on household income next year, Fitch said, shrinking consumer spending to the point that it causes a downturn during the second quarter of 2023.įitch, one of the world’s top three credit rating agencies, assesses the ability of companies and nations around the world to repay their debt, providing key guidance for investors. US GDP is now expected to grow by just 0.5% next year, down from 1.5% in the firm’s June forecast. In a report obtained first by CNN, Fitch slashed its US growth forecasts for this year and next because of one of the most aggressive inflation-fighting campaigns by the Fed in history. Stubborn inflation and the Federal Reserve’s jumbo-sized interest rate hikes will drive the American economy into a 1990-style mild recession starting in the spring, Fitch Ratings warned on Tuesday.
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